ISO 14091:2021
Adaptation to climate change — Guidelines on vulnerability, impacts and risk assessment
This document gives guidelines for assessing the risks related to the potential impacts of climate change. It describes how to understand vulnerability and how to develop and implement a sound risk assessment in the context of climate change. It can be used for assessing both present and future climate change risks.
Risk assessment according to this document provides a basis for climate change adaptation planning, implementation, and monitoring and evaluation for any organization, regardless of size, type and nature.
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Foreword
Introduction
1 Scope
2 Normative references
3 Terms and definitions
4 Introduction to climate change risk assessment
4.1 Concept of climate change risk
4.2 Assessing climate change risk
4.2.1 Objectives
4.2.2 Value-based judgements
5 Preparing a climate change risk assessment
5.1 Establishing the context
5.2 Identifying objectives and expected outcomes
5.3 Establishing a project team
5.4 Determining the scope and methodology
5.5 Setting the time horizon
5.6 Gathering relevant information
5.7 Preparing an implementation plan
5.8 Transparency
5.9 Participatory approach
6 Implementing a climate change risk assessment
6.1 Screening impacts and developing impact chains
6.1.1 General
6.1.2 Screening and identifying impacts
6.1.3 Developing impact chains
6.2 Identifying indicators
6.2.1 General
6.2.2 Selecting indicators
6.2.3 Creating a list of indicators
6.3 Acquiring and managing data
6.3.1 Gathering data
6.3.2 Evaluating data quality and results
6.3.3 Managing data
6.4 Aggregating indicators and risk components
6.5 Assessing adaptive capacity
6.6 Interpreting and evaluating the findings
6.7 Analysing cross-sectoral interdependencies
6.8 Independent review
7 Reporting and communicating climate change risk assessment results
7.1 Climate change risk assessment report
7.2 Communicating climate change risk assessment results
7.3 Reporting findings as a basis for appropriate adaptation planning
Annex A (informative) Linking vulnerability and risk management concepts — Change of the conceptual framework between IPCC AR4 and IPCC AR5
Annex B (informative) Risk assessment and uncertainty — Climate and non-climatic scenarios
Annex C (informative) Examples of impact chains and dos and don’ts when developing impact chains
Annex D (informative) Example of a screening matrix
Annex E (informative) Examples of indicators for risk and vulnerability assessments
Annex F (informative) Aggregating indicators and risk components
Annex G (informative) Components of adaptive capacity
Annex H (informative) Assessing adaptive capacity
Bibliography
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Foreword
Introduction
1 Scope
2 Normative references
3 Terms and definitions
4 Introduction to climate change risk assessment
4.1 Concept of climate change risk
4.2 Assessing climate change risk
4.2.1 Objectives
4.2.2 Value-based judgements
5 Preparing a climate change risk assessment
5.1 Establishing the context
5.2 Identifying objectives and expected outcomes
5.3 Establishing a project team
5.4 Determining the scope and methodology
5.5 Setting the time horizon
5.6 Gathering relevant information
5.7 Preparing an implementation plan
5.8 Transparency
5.9 Participatory approach
6 Implementing a climate change risk assessment
6.1 Screening impacts and developing impact chains
6.1.1 General
6.1.2 Screening and identifying impacts
6.1.3 Developing impact chains
6.2 Identifying indicators
6.2.1 General
6.2.2 Selecting indicators
6.2.3 Creating a list of indicators
6.3 Acquiring and managing data
6.3.1 Gathering data
6.3.2 Evaluating data quality and results
6.3.3 Managing data
6.4 Aggregating indicators and risk components
6.5 Assessing adaptive capacity
6.6 Interpreting and evaluating the findings
6.7 Analysing cross-sectoral interdependencies
6.8 Independent review
7 Reporting and communicating climate change risk assessment results
7.1 Climate change risk assessment report
7.2 Communicating climate change risk assessment results
7.3 Reporting findings as a basis for appropriate adaptation planning
Annex A (informative) Linking vulnerability and risk management concepts — Change of the conceptual framework between IPCC AR4 and IPCC AR5
Annex B (informative) Risk assessment and uncertainty — Climate and non-climatic scenarios
Annex C (informative) Examples of impact chains and dos and don’ts when developing impact chains
Annex D (informative) Example of a screening matrix
Annex E (informative) Examples of indicators for risk and vulnerability assessments
Annex F (informative) Aggregating indicators and risk components
Annex G (informative) Components of adaptive capacity
Annex H (informative) Assessing adaptive capacity
Bibliography